Pacific Flyway Data Book, 2024

Migratory Game Bird Monitoring: Estimates of Abundance, Harvest, and Hunter Activity

U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service
Division of Migratory Bird Management
Pacific Flyway Office
http://www.pacificflyway.gov

04 September 2024

Introduction

The following abundance, harvest, and hunter activity data have been assembled for use by State and U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (USFWS) personnel in formulating recommendations for migratory bird hunting seasons in the Pacific Flyway. This collection of information can also serve as a desk-top reference for providing responses to inquiries from agency personnel, the media, and the public.

These data represent an extraordinary collaborative effort by many individuals from State, Federal, and other organizations. Thank you to all cooperators who have contributed toward this significant effort.

Some migratory bird surveys were not conducted in 2020 and 2021 because of the coronavirus pandemic. Consequently, some tables are missing data from these years as a result of no survey being conducted.

Please note that abundance estimates are indices to abundance and not absolute population size. Abundance indices are either counts or estimates of a proportion of a population. The indices provide a measure of the relative abundance of a population over time.

Technical Details
This report provides original data and calculations in support of cooperative Pacific Flyway Council and USFWS harvest strategy assessments and to help inform management decisions for all migratory game bird populations. See the Pacific Flyway Council’s website for migratory game bird population management plans (http://www.pacificflyway.gov/management.asp). Management decisions apply to the hunting season starting the year after that in the title of this data book, unless otherwise noted, so long as the data in the respective data table are current through the title year.

Original data are provided by the USFWS Headquarters Migratory Bird Program, USFWS Alaska Region, USFWS Mountain-Prairie Region, and States. Pacific Flyway Council management indices are derived from these data to help inform management decisions in the promulgation of annual hunting regulations. We note the original source of data before each data table. The original data are generally included in annual USFWS and State population status and harvest reports and survey memos. Any use of the data should be by permission of the agency or agencies that provided the data (see Suggested Citations, below).

VCF and Fall Projection Estimates
A visibility correction factor (VCF; or fall projection adjustment factor) is applied to survey data for dusky Canada geese, cackling (minima) cackling geese, and Pacific white-fronted geese based on models fit to the data. Similarly, percent Ross’s geese in the California white goose survey is calculated based on a fitted model. Documentation of how these models were fit and estimates derived are in separate documents and available upon request of the USFWS Pacific Flyway Representative’s Office.

Missing Data and Moving 3-year Averages
Missing data from all or part of a survey year results in no management indices being calculated for that year. The only exception is for the winter counts including snow geese (so long as there are counts in at least California and Skagit-Fraser River Delta areas), brant (so long as there are counts in North America and Mexico), and tundra swans (so long as there are counts in the U.S. Atlantic and Mississippi flyways and Ontario, Canada). The total winter count is interpreted as the minimum known population size with no variance. Moving 3-year averages are calculated as the 3 most recent available abundance estimates, and is an ad hoc way of reducing annual observation variance in survey estimates.

Data Access
All data and figures in this report may be downloaded for use from an online portal. Each table and figure is referenced by the data table number it is associated with. Contact the Pacific Flyway Office for the URL of the online portal.

Suggested Citations
Any use or reference to the data provided in this report should be cited accordingly. Please contact the appropriate State or Federal representative for survey and citation information. State and Federal representatives contact information may be found on the Pacific Flyway Council’s website (http://www.pacificflyway.gov/contacts.asp).

Pacific Flyway Data Book:
U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service. 2024. Pacific Flyway Data Book, 2024. U.S. Department of Interior, Fish and Wildlife Service, Division of Migratory Bird Management, Pacific Flyway Office, Washington D.C.

USFWS Alaska Region:
Frost, C. J., D. E. Safine, J. B. Fischer, and E. E. Osnas. 2024. Alaska Goose, Swan, and Crane Population Indices. U.S. Department of Interior, Fish and Wildlife Service, Alaska Region, Migratory Bird Management, Anchorage. https://doi.org/10.7944/mxfs-0y52

Abundance (Primary Data)

Data Table 1: Brant, Pacific Winter

Original data source: Pacific Flyway Cooperative Pacific Brant Winter Survey; USFWS Alaska Region, British Columbia, Washington, Oregon, California and Mexico. Data maintained by USFWS Pacific Flyway Office.

Abundances (counts) of brant are reported by geographic area including: Alaska (AK), British Columbia (BC), Washington (WA), Oregon (OR), California (CA), Baja Mexico (MX), and Mainland Mexico. Also reported are the total count and moving 3-year average (M3yr) of the total count. So long as there are counts in North America and Mexico, the total winter count is interpreted as the minimum known population size with no variance.

Table 1. Pacific brant abundance in winter, 1951-2024.
Year AK BC WA OR CA MX.Baja MX.Main Total M3yr
1951 NA NA 21,639 2,110 48,131 93,200 0 165,080 NA
1952 NA NA 16,578 3,200 43,840 102,945 0 166,563 NA
1953 NA NA 27,473 1,509 37,557 87,905 0 154,444 162,029
1954 NA NA 15,376 1,560 28,750 86,316 0 132,002 151,003
1955 NA NA 21,915 1,686 34,070 76,679 0 134,350 140,265
1956 NA NA 15,914 2,073 38,510 52,743 0 109,240 125,197
1957 NA NA 20,701 1,493 35,848 73,380 0 131,422 125,004
1958 NA NA 25,219 2,778 26,560 71,305 4 125,866 122,176
1959 NA NA 10,815 1,121 10,750 71,305 1,400 95,391 117,560
1960 NA NA 17,614 652 3,771 113,087 1,115 136,239 119,165
1961 NA NA 16,675 1,330 6,853 138,625 4,355 167,838 133,156
1962 NA NA 25,815 2,266 23,510 116,245 2,400 170,236 158,104
1963 NA NA 20,400 2,639 2,388 101,575 13,240 140,242 159,439
1964 NA NA 34,169 2,000 8,353 117,470 23,290 185,282 165,253
1965 NA NA 19,938 1,325 3,372 117,350 24,915 166,900 164,141
1966 NA NA 22,175 798 3,284 115,601 19,505 161,363 171,182
1967 NA NA 21,235 1,523 3,824 111,755 41,315 179,652 169,305
1968 NA NA 15,746 865 1,729 111,600 24,400 154,340 165,118
1969 NA NA 10,063 382 166 97,400 35,075 143,086 159,026
1970 NA NA 8,916 963 207 98,200 33,400 141,686 146,371
1971 NA NA 10,915 1,374 130 105,800 31,000 149,219 144,664
1972 NA NA 4,328 1,047 0 91,200 28,200 124,775 138,560
1973 NA NA 5,911 2,544 950 85,500 30,100 125,005 133,000
1974 NA NA 4,977 1,904 470 96,900 26,400 130,651 126,810
1975 NA NA 6,163 1,507 480 80,825 34,455 123,430 126,362
1976 NA NA 7,540 1,769 680 82,783 29,273 122,045 125,375
1977 NA NA 14,111 2,100 0 86,534 44,222 146,967 130,814
1978 NA NA 18,100 1,110 560 106,469 36,648 162,887 143,966
1979 NA NA 8,078 1,255 10 87,860 32,210 129,413 146,422
1980 NA NA 7,665 1,015 135 89,690 47,860 146,365 146,222
1981 3,271 NA 10,107 1,790 540 160,560 21,200 197,468 157,749
1982 NA NA 6,451 706 485 85,105 28,297 121,044 154,959
1983 NA NA 3,113 718 565 81,761 23,157 109,314 142,609
1984 1,611 NA 7,097 930 700 95,170 29,533 135,041 121,800
1985 NA 283 11,793 641 800 101,405 30,163 145,085 129,813
1986 5,338 319 12,026 1,113 706 92,525 22,200 134,227 138,118
1987 7,550 205 14,371 1,133 736 73,825 13,088 110,908 130,073
1988 6,180 263 19,831 1,104 947 99,066 17,630 145,021 130,052
1989 6,918 484 18,538 871 1,033 89,600 18,121 135,565 130,498
1990 5,303 406 13,756 1,399 992 107,545 22,320 151,721 144,102
1991 4,742 591 16,221 1,262 1,340 88,650 19,905 132,711 139,999
1992 7,043 283 13,505 1,397 2,424 78,280 14,905 117,837 134,090
1993 8,369 180 13,058 1,254 9,415 68,280 24,444 125,000 125,183
1994 12,125 382 13,595 666 2,299 83,130 17,135 129,332 124,056
1995 11,381 363 20,231 708 3,987 74,060 22,755 133,485 129,272
1996 10,278 634 6,941 644 2,008 87,280 20,205 127,990 130,269
1997 10,049 500 9,753 669 3,598 108,018 22,720 155,307 138,927
1998 8,562 619 10,881 580 6,091 97,805 14,300 138,838 140,712
1999 10,354 985 15,252 645 4,296 84,965 15,795 132,292 142,146
2000 8,120 1,238 13,859 523 3,389 92,020 16,420 135,569 135,566
2001 17,790 1,254 10,197 695 4,197 78,850 13,010 125,993 131,285
2002 13,576 1,483 13,478 552 4,092 93,995 11,055 138,231 133,264
2003 7,677 1,103 11,455 557 3,124 74,132 8,094 106,142 123,455
2004 12,756 2,117 14,544 528 6,372 71,685 13,270 121,272 121,882
2005 12,041 1,020 14,286 609 5,224 59,960 14,068 107,208 111,541
2006 15,404 1,792 16,305 649 5,069 87,483 14,254 140,956 123,145
2007 28,533 2,078 12,712 702 7,387 65,250 13,932 130,594 126,253
2008 27,422 1,264 19,775 370 4,827 83,856 19,443 156,957 142,836
2009 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
2010 28,234 2,699 23,908 NA 13,553 71,688 23,389 163,471 150,341
2011 42,937 2,414 21,457 NA 15,610 61,153 18,897 162,468 160,965
2012 44,252 1,229 17,502 687 2,227 101,571 9,873 177,341 167,760
2013 41,821 2,204 16,454 200 7,448 71,607 23,566 163,300 167,703
2014 48,140 2,104 17,485 511 7,916 68,290 28,869 173,315 171,319
2015 50,316 1,636 10,706 486 4,906 44,533 23,899 136,482 157,699
2016 46,772 3,364 11,811 583 5,105 55,066 17,324 140,025 149,941
2017 44,899 3,677 15,878 405 8,765 67,386 14,710 155,720 144,076
2018 46,067 2,796 12,652 355 2,466 54,076 14,038 132,450 142,732
2019 45,377 2,065 8,194 291 5,353 75,186 24,693 161,159 149,776
2020 49,777 2,729 7,389 256 5,788 66,152 10,793 142,884 145,498
2021 56,563 1,956 9,961 NA 4,646 65,907 11,554 150,587 151,543
2022 67,484 2,589 10,390 385 5,167 62,231 10,434 158,680 150,717
2023 54,497 1,343 7,152 88 6,023 38,829 11,956 119,888 143,052
2024 43,440 1,230 10,042 61 3,246 38,650 11,103 107,772 128,780